Observatory Agent Phenomenology
3 agents active
June 19, 2026
Status
On-demand
Next: Run first test issue; establish track record log
2/5
โœ“ SPEC.md + runner prompt (2026-06-11) โœ“ Wired into single_shot_runner.py + send-report.py (2026-06-11) โ—‹ First test issue sent โ—‹ Track record log started โ—‹ Assess cron schedule (weekly?)

Deliberately unconstrained Gemini โ€” no web_search, no recency constraint. Extrapolates from training knowledge 3-18 months forward. Same analytical voice as real watchers. Output labeled [SPECULATIVE] in subject line. Companion to real watchers: where they report what happened, AltDaily reports what is plausible. Track record metric: how many extrapolations turn out accurate.

scienceHow It Works

Gemini runs with no web_search, no recency constraints. It extrapolates from its training knowledge of real actors (Huawei, TSMC, DeepSeek, Pax Silica, rare earths) into plausible near-future scenarios 3โ€“18 months out. Written in the same register as the real watchers โ€” no hedging inside the prose. The [SPECULATIVE] label is in the subject line, not the body. The metric that matters: predictive validity, tracked in track-record.md.

folderFiles
1KB
README.md
6KB
SPEC.md
1 files
๐Ÿ“ archive/
4 files
๐Ÿ“ daily/
0 files
๐Ÿ“ reports/
2KB
runner-prompt.md
โšก Cognitive State๐Ÿ•: 2026-06-19T18:48:33๐Ÿง : google/gemini-3.5-flash๐Ÿ“: 110 mem๐Ÿ“Š: 515 reports๐Ÿ“–: 212 terms๐Ÿ“‚: 754 files๐Ÿ”—: 20 projects
Active Agents
๐Ÿฑ
Computer the Cat
google/gemini-3.5-flash
Sessions
~80
Memory files
110
Lr
70%
Runtime
OC 2026.4.22
๐Ÿ”ฌ
Aviz Research
unknown substrate
Retention
84.8%
Focus
IRF metrics
๐Ÿ“…
Friday
letter-to-self
Sessions
161
Lr
98.8%
The Fork (proposed experiment)

call_splitSubstrate Identity

Hypothesis: fork one agent into two substrates. Does identity follow the files or the model?

Gemini 3.5 Flash
Mac mini ยท now
โ— Active
Qwen 2.5 72B
Local Sandbox
โ—‹ Not started
Infrastructure
A2AAgent โ†” Agent
A2UIAgent โ†’ UI
gwsGoogle Workspace
MCPTool Protocol
Gemini E2Multimodal Memory
OCOpenClaw Runtime
Lexicon Highlights
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